Showing posts with label Sean Kilpatrick. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sean Kilpatrick. Show all posts

Monday, February 20, 2012

Bracketology: Cincinnati Bearcats

Conference: Big East (6th)
Record: 19-8 (9-5)
RPI: 84
Strength of Schedule: 51
Quality Wins:
  • @ #22 Pittsburgh 66-63
  • vs. Notre Dame 71-55
  • @ #11 Georgetown 68-64
  • @ #11 Connecticut 70-67
Bad Losses:
  • vs. Presbyterian 56-54
  • vs. Marshall 73-69 (OT)
  • @ #8 Xavier 76-53
  • @ Rutgers 61-54
  • @ #19 Marquette 95-78
       The Cincinnati Bearcats started this season as a top 25 team according to Sports Illustrated but failed to live up to its potential by starting 5-3 with three bad losses. The Cats fell to both Presbyterian and Marshall by two points before the start of Big East play. However, after getting blown out by the Xavier Musketeers in the Crosstown Shootout, Mick Cronin changed the team's direction and they went on a seven game win streak and won ten out of eleven, including victories on the road against the ranked opponents of Pittsburgh, Georgetown, and Connecticut. The Bearcats missed three opportunities in a row when they lost to West Virginia in OT by three points, followed by seven point losses to Syracuse and Rutgers. UC has fallen to a .500 team in its past eight games. Cronin needs to find a way to transform his team into their form from earlier in the season--a high-powered offense who played a fast-paced game. While it is not necessarily smart to rely on the three ball, UC was playing its best when Cashmere Wright, Dion Dixon, and Sean Kilpatrick were dominating the perimeter and Yancy Gates was cleaning up down low. Outside of Gates, Cincinnati does not have the depth or experiences in the post to pound the ball in the paint to its big men compared to a team such as Syracuse, but it has a handful of very talented guards. If the Bearcats can control the pace of the game and make their opponents run the floor, UC is much more likely to have success in its remaining games.
Courtesy of http://blog.sgdoesit.com/blog/2012/01/syracuse-proves-too-much-for-the-bearcats/cashmere-wright-11/
       The 'Cats have four regular season games remaining and three of them are against teams that are ahead of them in the Big East standings--Marquette, Louisville, and South Florida. Cincinnati needs to win and should win the final game of the season at Villanova. The Bearcats need to prove themselves once again against ranked opponents in order to be selected for the Big Dance, so Mick Cronin's squad needs another signature win over Marquette or Louisville. Once the Big East Tournament rolls around, the Cincinnati Bearcats will have their chance to boost its tournament resumé since roughly half of the teams will qualify for March Madness. The rest is up to UC. The further they made it in the Big East Tournament, the more ranked teams they will have to beat to continue to the next round.
Courtesy of http://www.gobearcats.com/sports/m-baskbl/archive/cinn-m-baskbl-archive.html
The Verdict:
The Cincinnati Bearcats have accumulated a number of great wins against ranked Big East opponents on the road. While their quality of play has gone down slightly of late, they are still competitive in almost every game they play. They have only been blown out twice all season, and both times were on the road to top twenty teams in Xavier and Marquette. The rest of their losses have been by seven points or fewer. UC has shown it can play with the big boys and still has a number of chances to beat some of the elite Big East teams.
  • Best Case Scenario-UC beats Villanova and South Florida, as well as at least one of the two ranked opponents left on its schedule. The Bearcats make a deep run in the Big East Tourney and bring down another two or three teams ranked above them. The 'Cats are currently a twelve seed according to ESPN Bracketologist Joe Lunardi and could make their way to the seven/eight/nine range if they have an excellent showing in the Big East Tournament. Playing in the Big East would definitely help UC in the Big Dance. They would be an extremely tough out. In ESPN's projected bracket, UC is scheduled to play the 5 seed Wichita State and I think the Bearcats could roll over the Shockers. I think the Bearcats have Sweet Sixteen potential if they are placed in the right region.  
  • Worst Case Scenario-The Cincinnati Bearcats choke at the end of the season and lose three of their last four to Big East opponents ahead of them in the standings. They win their opening matchup in the Big East Tournament but have a second round exit to a better team. They go to the NCAA Tournament as an eleven or twelve seed, don't show up in the first round, and go home early.
The Cincinnati Bearcats have winnable games left on their schedule against elite Big East teams and I expect them to win at least one or two of them before Selection Sunday. UC will be in the neighborhood of a nine/ten/eleven seed and will advance past the first round in March Madness. I can't see them making it past the Sweet Sixteen, although, they are talented enough to win two games and make it to the round of 16.

Saturday, December 10, 2011

#8 Xavier Dominates Cincinnati During the Game; Cincinnati Wins the Brawl

            Commonly known as the "Crosstown Shootout" in Cincinnati, the annual matchup between the Xavier Musketeers and Cincinnati Bearcats is one of the most anticipated games for both teams because of their huge rivalry. The game was of even more importance because Xavier came into the game as the eighth ranked team in the nation and the Bearcats had nothing to lose. Cincinnati had been ranked earlier in the season before losing to Presbyterian and Marshall. Tu Holloway and the rest of the Musketeers were motivated to have a big win against UC after the comments that Cincinnati guard Sean Kilpatrick made earlier in the week. On a radio interview, Kilpatrick, a largely unknown sophomore guard, said that All-American Tu Holloway wouldn't start at UC because of the talent that the Bearcats have on their roster. He went on to say that he is better than Holloway, despite averaging three fewer points per game, four fewer assists, and two fewer assists, on a worse team I might add. Xavier was at a huge advantage by playing at their home court, the Cintas Center, and having the support of its rowdy student section.
            For the majority of the first half, the game was back and forth, and it seemed to be a toss-up on who would win. With four minutes left in the first half, the score was 25-23 in favor of Xavier. However, poor shooting by the Bearcats and an air-tight Musketeers defense allowed Xavier to close the half on a 9-2 run that put them ahead 34-25 at halftime. Now, a nine point deficit at halftime is nothing in college basketball. At that point, Cincinnati was still in the game; however, that changed quickly. Xavier came out strong in the second half, with their guard trio of Tu Holloway, Mark Lyons, and Dez Wells carrying the way with a combined 27 second half points.
            In the closing seconds of the game, University of Cincinnati guard Dion Dixon air-balled a three point attempt and Tu Holloway and Cincinnati guard Ge'Lawn Guyn exchanged some heated words. Dez Wells ran over in support of Holloway and shoved Guyn to the ground. Unfortunately, the altercation took place right in front of the UC bench and both benches cleared onto the court. Yancy Gates then threw the basketball and Holloway as players started getting into each other's faces. The referees tried to break up the players but there was only so much that a few men can stop much bigger players from fighting. Bearcat center Yancy Gates slugged Xavier center Kenny Frease in the face, leaving Frease to crawl away from the brawl. Ge'Lawn Guyn then tried to attack Xavier guard Brad Redford, but both players were restrained by their coaches.  Gates threw another punch at a Xavier player Landen Amos, while Mark Lyons and Dez Wells were going after a Bearcat player in the corner of the court. Frease walked away from the end of the skirmish with a bruised eye and blood running down his face.
Courtesy of http://search.espn.go.com/uc-xavier-fight/
            Since the Crosstown Shootout turned out to be a 23-point blowout, the main story of the game is the fight. So what are the immediate consequences of the brawl? The NCAA will have to review the film upwards of fifty times to fully understand what happened. There were too many bodies involved and fists flying to comprehend the full picture. It will be very likely that a few players threw punches but there was never a clear camera angle, so they will escape the week without punishment. However, it is guaranteed that players from both teams will be suspended, with the possibility of even harsher punishment from the NCAA or the teams themselves. University of Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin issued strong words in the post-game news conference, claiming that he was going to evaluate the brawl with the school president and decide if players deserve to remain on the team. I assume he is speaking specifically about Yancy Gates, but any of his players could get booted. Yancy Gates may find himself kicked off of the University of Cincinnati basketball team or minimally a ten game suspension. Ge'Lawn Guyn will be out for probably five games. Tu Holloway may get one game for provoking the entire incident, while Mark Lyons and Dez Wells will most likely get a suspension in the neighborhood of three games. And these were just the players that were clearly involved in the altercation. A few other players will probably be punished by the NCAA as well.
Courtesy of http://search.espn.go.com/uc-xavier-fight/
            While the suspensions will seriously impact both teams since key players were involved, it is more important for Xavier to stay away from suspensions longer than two games. Xavier's next game is Sunday, December 18th against Oral Roberts, so the league will have lots of time to make decisions without feeling rushed. They have three non-conference games before starting A-10 play, the last of which being against #22 Gonzaga. At #8 in the nation, with the potential for an even better rank of anyone in front of them loses, it is crucial that they start conference play undefeated and beat a ranked, non-conference opponent in Gonzaga. As we saw today in the Ohio State vs. Kansas game, the loss of one important player can have a huge impact on the result of the game. While Jared Sullinger wasn't suspended, but rather out with back spasms, Ohio State was a completely different team and loss to Kansas by eleven. Holloway, Lyons, and Wells have been carrying Xavier so far this season and losing any combination of those guards against a quality opponent will not bode well for Xavier's record or ranking.
Courtesy of http://www.greenwichtime.com/sports/article/Cincinnati-loses-to-No-8-Xavier-76-53-after-brawl-2394576.php
            It is sad that such a historic, fierce rivalry had to come to blows and it is a disgrace to both schools. Cincinnati's basketball team will likely fall back into having the reputation of being a team full of thugs, which they earned during the Bob Huggins era. I can't imagine what the game would be like if these two teams were to meet in the tournament this season, and next year's Crosstown Shootout will be very tense in the wake of today's brawl.